Severe Weather Live Coverage - Large Hail, Damaging Winds, Isolated Tornadoes

...SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are most likely across a large part of central Texas during the late afternoon and evening, including a few tornadoes aside from more prevalent large hail and damaging winds. Other severe storms are expected from the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic States.

...Texas... Although more progressive across east-central Texas, multifaceted outflow (and other wavelike features) continues to generally decelerate across north-central Texas south of the Metroplex west-southwestward into the Big Country/Concho Valley, where it loosely connects to a surface low in vicinity of the Pecos River across southwest Texas. Some northward recovery may occur as these features otherwise gradually decay. Regardless, a strongly to
the extremely unstable air mass will otherwise develop through the afternoon near/south of these remnant boundaries with ample moisture beneath a residual elevated-mixed layer (reference 12Z Midland and Del Rio observed soundings) that extends into west-central/south-central Texas.

Surface-based storms are expected to initially develop and quickly intensify this afternoon near aforementioned (albeit modified) outflow, and also along the dryline bulge near the Concho Valley. Given the degree of instability, a belt of modest mid-level westerlies (20-30 kt at 500 mb) will be adequate for supercells and multicell clusters amid the large buoyancy reservoir.

All severe risks are possible, including damaging winds and
destructive wind-driven large hail, especially ss storms consolidate into a potentially massive south/southeastward-moving MCS this evening with embedded bows and supercells. A severe threat may persist tonight southeast towards the Gulf Coast despite increasing boundary-layer inhibition.

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